Monday, January 02, 2012

Review of 2011 predictions etc

To quote Julian Barnes "history is that certainty produced at the point where the imperfections of memory meet the inadequacies of documentation" and on that basis my suggestions for 2011 were pretty much spot on in terms of Jeremy Hunt and the DEA (although did not even have a sniff of the hacking scandal to come) and the judgment in MPA v BT (Newzbin 2).

So self regard aside what looks likely in 2012 ? Well.........

1. The content owners will continue to recover territory vs the pirates and new media distributors - and possibly the pendulum will swing too far the other way in the case of SOPA.
2. Lack of financing will continue to reveal flawed models in the content sector and consolidation (or worse ) will gather momentum. Only the very strong will be able to continue with non digital based models.
3. Irrespective of the financial climate digital will continue to advance and the consumption of entertainment via Internet to multiple devices will accelerate. Zuckerberg's Law of Sharing will apply and this will threaten the IP rights of content producers and owners.

Personal favourites for 2011 were Steve Jobs authorised biography, Tom Bingham's the Rule of the Law and the exceptional movie Drive. High on the list is also David Cameron's NO to the Franco Prussian (sorry German) alliance which can restore people's faith in democracy - regardless of the arguments either way most British people want out which seems a relevant point to me.

Very sad to see Steve Jobs check out so early but he did leave a legacy of optimism based on the idea "The people who are crazy enough to think they can change the world are the ones who do"